Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.