Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chiangrai United win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Kitchee had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chiangrai United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Kitchee win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
