SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Persepolis had a probability of 12.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.66%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Persepolis win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Persepolis | Draw | Al-Nassr |
12.93% ( -0.25) | 21.52% ( -0.1) | 65.55% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 41.57% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.11) | 53.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( -0.09) | 74.99% ( 0.09) |
| Persepolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.26% ( -0.47) | 50.74% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.84% ( -0.32) | 85.16% ( 0.32) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.08) | 15.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( 0.15) | 44.6% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Persepolis | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 1-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 12.93% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 14.7% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 13.66% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.46% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 65.54% |
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