SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Al-Nassr |
8.71% ( 0.05) | 14.29% ( -0.04) | 76.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.4) | 32.83% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.46) | 54.52% ( -0.46) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( 0.41) | 45.12% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.97% ( 0.33) | 81.03% ( -0.33) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.03% ( 0.09) | 6.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.48% ( 0.23) | 25.52% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 8.71% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.29% | 0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 9.91% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.99% |
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