SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 60.63% | 23.28% | 16.09% |
| Both teams to score 43.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% | 54.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% | 17.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.21% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.35% | 46.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.78% | 82.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Oita Trinita |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.62% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.15% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 16.09% |
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