Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
