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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Sep 22, 2021 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Adailton (26')
Aoki (42')
Leandro (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swierczok (43')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
38.68%27.26%34.05%
Both teams to score 49.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43%55.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26%76.74%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06%27.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44%63.56%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23%30.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97%67.03%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 38.69%
    Nagoya Grampus 34.05%
    Draw 27.26%
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.05%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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