SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohang Steelers win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pohang Steelers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pohang Steelers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
38.69% ( -0.02) | 27.35% ( 0.02) | 33.96% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.08% ( -0.05) | 55.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.97% ( -0.04) | 77.03% ( 0.04) |
| Pohang Steelers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.04) | 28.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( -0.05) | 63.77% ( 0.05) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.02) | 31.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.69% ( -0.02) | 67.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.96% |
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