SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
60.6% ( 0.09) | 22.5% ( -0.02) | 16.9% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( -0.06) | 50.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.05) | 72.12% ( 0.05) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.01) | 16.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.45% ( 0.02) | 45.55% ( -0.02) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.13) | 43.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.67% ( -0.11) | 79.33% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 60.59% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.9% |
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