Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.17) 
