SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ulsan Hyundai | Draw | Ventforet Kofu |
52.22% ( -0.36) | 22.89% ( -0.01) | 24.89% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( 0.41) | 41.67% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( 0.41) | 64.07% ( -0.41) |
| Ulsan Hyundai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( 0.02) | 16.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% ( 0.04) | 45.36% ( -0.04) |
| Ventforet Kofu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 0.52) | 30.19% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( 0.62) | 66.35% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ulsan Hyundai | Draw | Ventforet Kofu |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.89% |
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