SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
43.65% ( 3.9) | 23.36% ( -0.2) | 32.98% ( -3.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.14) | 38.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( 0.15) | 60.92% ( -0.15) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 1.75) | 18.09% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.97% ( 2.91) | 49.02% ( -2.91) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -1.91) | 23.22% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -2.87) | 57.12% ( 2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.5)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.57)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.48)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.98% |
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