SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
39.41% ( -0.74) | 24.97% ( 0.15) | 35.62% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( -0.62) | 45.63% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( -0.59) | 67.95% ( 0.59) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.64) | 22.99% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.95) | 56.79% ( 0.95) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( 0.05) | 25.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( 0.07) | 59.68% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.62% |
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