SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Pohang Steelers had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Pohang Steelers win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
48.94% ( -0.3) | 24.03% ( 0.11) | 27.02% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( -0.35) | 45.01% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.34) | 67.36% ( 0.33) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( -0.25) | 18.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% ( -0.43) | 49.69% ( 0.42) |
| Pohang Steelers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.04) | 30.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.52% ( -0.04) | 66.48% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.02% |
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