SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
22.26% ( 0.93) | 21.72% ( 0.75) | 56.01% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 59.43% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -2.38) | 39.12% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -2.54) | 61.45% ( 2.54) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( -0.52) | 30.99% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.7% ( -0.61) | 67.3% ( 0.61) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -1.29) | 13.88% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.71% ( -2.6) | 41.28% ( 2.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.26% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.21)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.19)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.02% |
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