SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 91.87%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 2.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.38%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.79%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (0.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shenzhen |
91.87% ( -0.05) | 5.92% ( 0.03) | 2.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.11) | 20.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.15) | 38.36% ( 0.15) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.6% ( -0.02) | 2.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.68% ( -0.08) | 11.32% ( 0.07) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.18% ( 0) | 58.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.96% ( 0) | 90.03% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 3-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)6-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)8-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 91.86% | 1-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 5.92% | Other @ 2.2% Total : 2.2% |
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