SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
22.45% ( 0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.05) | 54.56% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.17) | 44.66% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.17) | 67.02% ( 0.17) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.07) | 33.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( -0.07) | 70.58% ( 0.07) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( -0.09) | 16.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.19% ( -0.16) | 45.81% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.45% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 54.55% |
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