SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Benin had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Nigeria |
28.28% ( -1.65) | 28.93% ( -0.38) | 42.78% ( 2.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( 0.68) | 62.96% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( 0.49) | 82.43% ( -0.49) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.95) | 38.93% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -0.91) | 75.66% ( 0.9) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 1.49) | 29.2% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( 1.8) | 65.14% ( -1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.28% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 13.99% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.48)1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.49% Total : 42.77% |
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