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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
LN

Benin
2 - 1
Libya

Mounie (50'), Olaitan (62' pen.)
Mounie (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Badri (9' pen.)
Shafshuf (13'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (45+3'), Al Badri (54'), Abo Shaalah (54'), Arteeba (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Benin 2-1 Libya

Libya will feel gutted not to have secured all three points against Rwanda and will head into Tuesday's clash looking to bounce back. However, Benin boast the quality needed to get the job done here and we are tipping them to come away with a narrow victory at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benin in this match.

Result
BeninDrawLibya
35.3% (-0.444 -0.44) 27.95% (0.464 0.46) 36.75% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-1.447 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-1.787 -1.79)58.08% (1.785 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-1.426 -1.43)78.75% (1.423 1.42)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.177 -1.18)31.22% (1.175 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.391 -1.39)67.56% (1.389 1.39)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.895 -0.89)30.31% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-1.081 -1.08)66.49% (1.08 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Benin 35.3%
    Libya 36.74%
    Draw 27.94%
BeninDrawLibya
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.624 0.62)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.48 0.48)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-2 Benin
Saturday, March 23 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Benin
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-2 Libya
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 1-3 Libya
Friday, January 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies


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