SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
41.3% ( 0.43) | 30.09% ( 0.05) | 28.61% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.28) | 66.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.18% ( -0.19) | 84.82% ( 0.19) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.1) | 31.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.12) | 68.18% ( -0.12) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.56) | 40.59% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.81% ( -0.5) | 77.18% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.08% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 28.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
