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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
30 June Air Defence Stadium
BN

Egypt
1 - 1
Botswana

Trezeguet (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kebatho (8')
Modingwane (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-1 Egypt
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Egypt 1-1 Botswana

While Egypt can rest on their laurels, having already secured qualification, Botswana need a point at the 30 June Stadium to end their 12-year AFCON absence. The Pharaohs head into the game as firm favourites on paper but we predict that Ramoreboli's men will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and secure their place in Morocco next year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 76.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 6.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.25%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EgyptDrawBotswana
76.9% (0.51700000000001 0.52) 16.53% (-0.293 -0.29) 6.57% (-0.2199 -0.22)
Both teams to score 32.76% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (0.39400000000001 0.39)51.24% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (0.343 0.34)73.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (0.256 0.26)11.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.59% (0.547 0.55)36.4% (-0.545 -0.55)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.03% (-0.382 -0.38)62.97% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.9% (-0.1791 -0.18)92.1% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 76.88%
    Botswana 6.57%
    Draw 16.53%
EgyptDrawBotswana
2-0 @ 16.93% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 15.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 12.2% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 6.6% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.098 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 76.88%
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-1 @ 7.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.53%
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 1.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 6.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-1 Egypt
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Cape Verde
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup


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