SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botswana win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Mauritania has a probability of 33.23% and a draw has a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win is 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Mauritania win is 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.44%).
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Mauritania |
37.24% ( 2.21) | 29.53% ( -0.62) | 33.23% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.31% ( 1.87) | 63.69% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.04% ( 1.32) | 82.96% ( -1.32) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( 2.45) | 32.86% ( -2.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( 2.64) | 69.42% ( -2.64) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.09) | 35.55% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.68% ( -0.1) | 72.32% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.9) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 33.23% |
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