SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Mauritania |
63.59% ( 2.05) | 22.45% ( -0.95) | 13.96% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% ( 1.55) | 54.91% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% ( 1.27) | 76.2% ( -1.26) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( 1.28) | 16.76% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% ( 2.24) | 46.7% ( -2.23) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.01% ( -0.67) | 49.99% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.35% ( -0.47) | 84.65% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.32% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.54% Total : 13.96% |
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