SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Botswana |
58.13% ( 0.11) | 27.18% ( 0.36) | 14.7% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 32.66% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.88% ( -1.45) | 68.12% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.99% ( -0.97) | 86.01% ( 0.97) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( -0.6) | 24.17% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( -0.87) | 58.5% ( 0.87) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.07% ( -1.59) | 56.93% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11% ( -0.91) | 89% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 19.54% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.12% | 0-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.72) 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.21% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.7% |
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