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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique de Nouakchott
EN

Mauritania
0 - 1
Egypt


Kamara (36'), Ndiaga Yade (45+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adel (85')
Eid (71'), Attia (72'), Trezeguet (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mauritania 1-1 Egypt

While Egypt are in exceptional form, they could struggle against Mauritania's aggressive play style. It would also not be surprising if the visitors struggled in the final third without the presence of Salah, who is both a hub of creativity and a source of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.45%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawEgypt
14.17% (-0.705 -0.71) 23.01% (-0.213 -0.21) 62.82% (0.911 0.91)
Both teams to score 40.64% (-0.987 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.46% (-0.429 -0.43)56.54% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47% (-0.348 -0.35)77.52% (0.342 0.34)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.33% (-1.303 -1.3)50.66% (1.297 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.89% (-0.904 -0.9)85.11% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.166 0.17)17.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.291 0.29)48.19% (-0.299 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 14.17%
    Egypt 62.81%
    Draw 23%
MauritaniaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 3.58% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 2.06% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.92% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 15.49% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 13.45% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-3 @ 7.79% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.38% (0.128 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.17% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 62.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Sudan
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Cape Verde
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Burkina Faso
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 2-4 Croatia
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies


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