SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Senegal |
26.38% ( 0.7) | 28.07% ( 0.29) | 45.55% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.98% ( -0.56) | 61.02% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( -0.42) | 81.01% ( 0.42) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.54% ( 0.3) | 39.45% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( 0.28) | 76.15% ( -0.28) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.76) | 26.8% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( -1.01) | 62.09% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.38% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 13.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.87% Total : 45.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
