SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mauritania |
54.49% ( 0.12) | 28.89% ( -0.03) | 16.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 32.47% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.34% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.55% ( -0) | 87.45% ( 0) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.06) | 26.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( 0.07) | 62.18% ( -0.07) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.11) | 55.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.76% ( -0.07) | 88.24% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 19.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 54.49% | 0-0 @ 14.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.63% |
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