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MN
Friendlies 3
Mar 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
MN

Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania

Sagnan (9'), Bilal Toure (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ivory Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Mali 1-1 Mauritania

This friendly might end in a draw. Both teams will likely play cautiously, avoiding defeat even if it's just an exhibition game. Mali's missing their star player in Bissouma which hurts their offensive power, while Mauritania have an incentive to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.94%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawMauritania
66.61% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18) 21.92% (0.107 0.11) 11.47% (0.077 0.08)
Both teams to score 36.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (-0.208 -0.21)57.76% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.165 -0.16)78.5% (0.17 0.17)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (-0.134 -0.13)16.73% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.241 -0.24)46.65% (0.247 0.25)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.6% (0.004999999999999 0)88.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mali 66.6%
    Mauritania 11.47%
    Draw 21.92%
MaliDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 16.71% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 11.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ivory Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 30 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Mali
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 6-2 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Algeria
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mauritania 2-3 Angola
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, January 16 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Mauritania
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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