SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gabon | Draw | Morocco |
29.5% ( -0.27) | 28.73% ( -0.23) | 41.76% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.67) | 61.89% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.34% ( 0.49) | 81.65% ( -0.5) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.16) | 37.36% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% ( 0.16) | 74.14% ( -0.16) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.61) | 29.24% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( 0.75) | 65.19% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gabon | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.76% |
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