SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Comoros |
34.17% ( -0.56) | 28.77% ( -0.04) | 37.06% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( 0.11) | 61.08% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( 0.08) | 81.05% ( -0.08) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.32) | 33.51% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( -0.35) | 70.15% ( 0.35) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.44) | 31.62% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( 0.5) | 68.03% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.06% |
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