Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gambia win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Madagascar has a probability of 30.9% and a draw has a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Madagascar win is 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).