SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Gambia | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Cameroon |
20.06% ( 0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.09) | 53.09% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.13) | 61.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% ( -0.1) | 81.5% ( 0.1) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.91% ( 0.1) | 46.09% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.21% ( 0.08) | 81.79% ( -0.08) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.17) | 23.51% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.24) | 57.55% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Cameroon |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.06% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 15.68% 0-2 @ 11.35% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 53.08% |
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