SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 69.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.24%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Tanzania |
69.17% ( -0.07) | 21.38% ( 0.06) | 9.45% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 32.22% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% ( -0.18) | 60.18% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.62% ( -0.14) | 80.38% ( 0.14) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.09) | 16.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( -0.16) | 46.61% ( 0.16) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.1) | 61.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.69% ( -0.05) | 91.31% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 18.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 16.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 69.16% | 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.37% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.02% Total : 9.45% |
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