SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Tanzania |
47.77% ( -0.34) | 26.5% ( 0.06) | 25.73% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.04) | 55.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( -0.04) | 77.05% ( 0.04) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( -0.17) | 23.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -0.25) | 57.45% ( 0.25) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( 0.21) | 37.2% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( 0.21) | 73.99% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.73% |
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