SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lesotho in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Central African Republic |
48.31% ( -0.04) | 26.04% ( -0.28) | 25.65% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( 1.27) | 54.28% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( 1.05) | 75.67% ( -1.05) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 0.52) | 22.48% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( 0.77) | 56.04% ( -0.77) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.97) | 36.36% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( 0.97) | 73.14% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.31% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.65% |
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