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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
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Mozambique
vs.
Mali

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Mozambique 1-2 Mali

With Mozambique and Mali level on points at the top of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Zimpeto as they look to get the better of each other and move into pole piston in Group I. While Mozambique have home advantage, Chelle's men are stronger on paper and we are tipping them to come away with a close victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw has a probability of 29.1% and a win for Mozambique has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Mozambique win it is 1-0 (10.53%).

Result
MozambiqueDrawMali
26.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 29.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 44.52% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 41.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.83% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)64.17% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.69% (-0.02 -0.02)83.31% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)41.23% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)64.71% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 26.4%
    Mali 44.52%
    Draw 29.07%
MozambiqueDrawMali
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 14.78%
0-2 @ 9.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 44.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Namibia (2-4 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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