SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Mali |
26.38% ( -0.03) | 29.04% ( -0.03) | 44.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.08) | 64.09% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.75% ( 0.06) | 83.25% ( -0.06) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.02) | 41.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.26% ( 0.02) | 77.74% ( -0.02) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.08) | 28.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( 0.09) | 64.62% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 14.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
