Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Madagascar has a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Madagascar win it is 1-0 (8.86%).