Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Madagascar | Draw | Mali |
23.47% (![]() | 29.73% (![]() | 46.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 38.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.46% (![]() | 67.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.37% (![]() | 85.63% (![]() |
Madagascar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.03% (![]() | 45.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.3% (![]() | 81.7% (![]() |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% (![]() | 29.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% (![]() | 65.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Madagascar | Draw | Mali |
1-0 @ 10.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.46% | 0-0 @ 13.47% (![]() 1-1 @ 12.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.73% | 0-1 @ 16.53% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.14% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.33% Total : 46.79% |
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