Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2024 at 11pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
vs.
Guinea-Bissau

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mali and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau has a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it is 0-1 (7.82%).

Result
Mali	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
54.13%	25.83%	20.05%

Both teams to score 43.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.63%

58.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.02%

78.98%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.8%

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.84%

44.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.75%

80.25%

Score Analysis

Mali 54.12%

Guinea-Bissau 20.05%

Draw 25.83%

Mali	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 14.63% 2-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.66% 4-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.12%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 7.82% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.05%

Head to Head

Form Guide

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Last Game: Mali 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Eswatini
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Egypt
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

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Mali
vs.
Guinea-Bissau

Form, Standings, Stats