Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.