SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Mali had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Mali win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 41.88% | 24.53% | 33.59% |
| Both teams to score 58.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% | 44.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% | 25.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% | 60.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.59% |
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