SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
23.13% ( 0.43) | 28.17% ( 0.4) | 48.7% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.72% ( -0.91) | 63.29% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.33% ( -0.66) | 82.67% ( 0.66) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.1) | 43.79% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.05% ( -0.08) | 79.95% ( 0.08) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.81) | 26.28% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( -1.1) | 61.4% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 15.37% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.85% Total : 48.69% |
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