SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Eswatini |
45.53% ( -0.54) | 28.45% ( 0.28) | 26.01% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 43.09% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.74) | 62.44% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.93% ( -0.55) | 82.06% ( 0.55) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( -0.63) | 27.47% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( -0.82) | 62.97% ( 0.82) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.18) | 40.58% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.81% ( -0.17) | 77.18% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.72% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 26.01% |
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