Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
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