SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 7.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Somalia |
78.16% ( -0.24) | 14.67% ( 0.19) | 7.17% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.53% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( -0.73) | 40.88% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% ( -0.75) | 63.27% ( 0.75) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0.23) | 8.55% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.43% ( -0.56) | 29.57% ( 0.56) |
| Somalia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.41% ( -0.37) | 54.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.37% ( -0.22) | 87.63% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Somalia |
| 2-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.55% Total : 78.15% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.67% | 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 7.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
