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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
LN

Eswatini
0 - 1
Libya

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kraouaa (53')
Al Khoja (39')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botswana 2-1 Eswatini
Monday, October 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Niger
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Eswatini X-Y Libya

Libya have put together a fine run of form heading into the qualifiers and will fancy their chances against an Eswatini side who have lost their last four competitive home games. We predict a cagey affair at the Mbombela Stadium, with the Mediterranean Knights claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.

Result
EswatiniDrawLibya
28.97% (-0.319 -0.32) 29.09% (-0.223 -0.22) 41.94% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 43.17% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.79% (0.593 0.59)63.21% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.38% (0.425 0.43)82.62% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.072000000000003 0.07)38.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.070999999999998 0.07)75.26% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (0.60600000000001 0.61)29.79% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (0.726 0.73)65.87% (-0.72699999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 28.96%
    Libya 41.93%
    Draw 29.08%
EswatiniDrawLibya
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.47% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 13.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.095 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 41.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botswana 2-1 Eswatini
Monday, October 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Eswatini
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Niger
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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