SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.85%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Somalia | Draw | Eswatini |
6.69% ( 0.44) | 15.55% ( 0.7) | 77.76% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 36.09% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -1.33) | 46.8% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -1.25) | 69.06% ( 1.26) |
| Somalia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.45) | 59.85% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.42% ( 0.23) | 90.57% ( -0.23) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.9% ( -0.62) | 10.1% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.74% ( -1.45) | 33.25% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Somalia | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.76% Total : 6.69% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 15.55% | 0-2 @ 15.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 13.85% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 12.14% ( -0.32)1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 6.96% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 3.19% ( -0.27)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 77.75% |
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