Algeria boast a vastly superior squad, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We can see the hosts cruising to a comfortable win come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 95.29%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 0.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.43%) and 4-0 (16.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.05%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
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