SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Cape Verde |
32.63% ( 0.02) | 27.58% ( 0.08) | 39.79% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( -0.3) | 57.01% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( -0.24) | 77.9% ( 0.25) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.14) | 32.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.02% ( -0.16) | 68.97% ( 0.16) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -0.2) | 27.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.36% ( -0.25) | 63.63% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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