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Friendlies 3
Oct 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lobatse Stadium

Botswana
2 - 1
Eswatini

Orebonye (26'), Maswena (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Myeni (55')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Botswana and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Zimbabwe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 34.43%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.65%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 0-1 (13.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawEswatini
34.43% (0.012 0.01) 31.17% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 34.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 39.16% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.4% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.59% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)86.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)37.44% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)74.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 34.43%
    Eswatini 34.38%
    Draw 31.17%
BotswanaDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.65%
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 34.43%
0-0 @ 14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.53%
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 31.17%
0-1 @ 13.75%
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 34.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Zimbabwe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Botswana
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Botswana
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Eswatini
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Togo
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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