SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
45.67% ( -0.26) | 29.96% ( -0.22) | 24.37% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 38.39% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.32% ( 0.83) | 67.68% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.28% ( 0.55) | 85.72% ( -0.55) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0.28) | 29.97% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% ( 0.34) | 66.09% ( -0.34) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.97) | 45.17% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( 0.76) | 81.07% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 1-0 @ 16.31% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.26% Total : 45.67% | 0-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.43) 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.37% |
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