Ethiopia will fancy their chances against a Burkina Faso side who have managed just one competitive win in 2023. However, the Stallions boast the firepower needed to get this one over the like and we are tipping them to come out on top in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.1%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 33.39% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 32.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a draw win was 0-0 with a probability of 18.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.19%) and 2-2 (2.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (15.68%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (15.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
-0.47) 
0.13) 
