SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.1%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 33.39% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 32.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a draw win was 0-0 with a probability of 18.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.19%) and 2-2 (2.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (15.68%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 1-0 (15.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Burkina Faso |
32.53% ( -0.47) | 34.08% ( 0.13) | 33.39% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 32.72% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.21% ( -0.28) | 75.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.28% ( -0.16) | 90.72% ( 0.16) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( -0.54) | 43.12% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.61% ( -0.46) | 79.39% ( 0.45) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.08) | 42.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( 0.07) | 78.84% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.53% | 0-0 @ 18.31% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 34.08% | 0-1 @ 15.68% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.38% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
